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TBNG_OKX
TBNG_OKX
CPI Just Hit 3.8% and BTC Barely Flinched. That's the Real Story... April CPI printed at 3.8% YoY today, the hottest read since May 2023 and above the 3.7% consensus. Energy drove over 40% of the monthly gain. Core came in at 2.8%, also above forecast. Rate hike odds for 2026 just hit 31%, the highest in this cycle. BTC's response? A $445 slip from $80,860 to $80,415. Less than 0.6%. June cut odds went from a coin flip to near zero, and BTC barely registered it. The old playbook says hot CPI plus rate hike fears equals crypto selloff. That playbook is getting rewritten. Part of the story is structural: ETF inflows have absorbed roughly $9.4 billion over the past 45 days per CoinDesk. That's an institutional bid that doesn't panic on a macro miss. It just sits there and absorbs. But there's something else going on. The Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh to the Fed Board 51-45 today, clearing the path for his full chair vote tomorrow. His financial disclosures show $100M+ in crypto-related holdings across 20+ blockchain entities. The market is reading that as a crypto-friendly signal at the top of the Fed, whatever his actual policy stance turns out to be. Layer on the CLARITY Act Senate markup tomorrow at 10:30 AM ET, and you've got genuine macro headwinds colliding directly with the most crypto-positive regulatory backdrop in years. Hard to know which force dominates this week. But a sub-1% BTC dip on the hottest inflation print in three years deserves more attention than the CPI number itself. Is this resilience, or is the market just not pricing in the rate hike risk yet? #USCPIHits3.8% @OKX Orbit $BTC $ETH

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