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612 Ceros
The market is entering a critical 48-hour window that will define the next major directional move. This past week was explosive, with historic shifts and sudden shocks reshaping the landscape. Here is the breakdown you need. The United States CLARITY Act passed a committee vote 15:9, marking a historic breakthrough in regulatory clarity. On-chain valuation models are now racing against Nasdaq, challenging traditional price discovery for the first time. Airstrikes in Israel sent Bitcoin crashing below $80k, liquidating 120,000 positions. Meanwhile, the Samsung strike countdown adds pressure to the AI narrative. Over the next 48 hours, three events demand your focus. First, the Israel situation from May 17-18. The ceasefire probability sits at just 39%. Weekend gap risk is real. Do not hold high leverage overnight. Second, May 19 is the day before the Samsung strike deadline. South Korea’s final response comes Friday at 10:00 AM. No concessions mean the strike begins May 21, with Asian markets pricing risk first. Third, May 22 brings US jobless claims, but this is a low-impact event. The two above are the real drivers. Fundamentals remain supportive. Funds have seen net inflows for six consecutive weeks, totaling $858 million, with $4.9 billion overall. April ETF inflows hit $2.44 billion. Last week, short product outflows were the largest of the year at $14.4 million. Longs increasing and shorts decreasing creates a powerful resonance. Volatility will rise, but the trend remains intact. My weekend strategy is simple. Hold 80% spot BTC with leverage capped at 2-3x. Use a long-short hedge: long the CLARITY narrative versus short-term Middle East positions. All margin stays on OKEx with strict stop-losses and capital split across markets. Stay sharp. The next 48 hours will separate the prepared from the rest. #MARKETOVERLOADWEEK

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