
发哥的权志龙G-dragon
发哥的权志龙G-dragon
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⚠️🔥Big news in the crypto world! A whale just went all-in with 152 million USDT on ETH, with only $200 left before liquidation!
Everyone, check the on-chain data, another ruthless whale is entering to bottom-fish Ethereum😱
In just over a day
They smashed 152 million USDT
Frenziedly scooped up 93,300 ETH
The average transaction price is firmly stuck at $1633📊
Including previous holdings, they now hold 167,400 ETH
Total position value hits $261 million, a seriously heavy long position!
Here comes the most exciting part💥
This big player entered with leverage, with an overall liquidation price at $1356
Current price is $1633, if the market drops another $200
Positions worth over $100 million will be wiped out in one click!
Now the market is a tug of war:
✅ Bulls: The whale is backing the price with real money, ready to add more if it drops
❌ Bears: Watching the $1356 death line, waiting to push through and trigger a chain liquidation
Veteran traders know, leaving only a $200 safety margin on such a huge position shows maximum risk appetite🤯
Either the whale pumps the price and profits soar, or a sharp drop triggers a dramatic liquidation show
Get ready for some thrilling ETH volatility ahead👀

Can't stop laughing! Saylor switches to selling Bitcoin live, this move has the crypto community stunned
Anyone get this? The top "crazy believer" in Bitcoin and MicroStrategy's boss, Saylor, actually put down his Wall Street elite persona and dove headfirst into TikTok live streaming to sell BTC! When I saw this picture, I literally sprayed my soda on the screen, the contrast is hilarious 😂
What was Saylor like before? Dressed in a suit standing at the Nasdaq podium, saying things like "Bitcoin is the greatest asset in human history," "Fiat currency will eventually go to zero," "I will never sell a single BTC in my life," giving three-hour speeches without drinking water, convincing hundreds of thousands of believers worldwide to go all in with him.
And now?
His hair styled like a live-streaming seller, wearing a black shirt printed with the Bitcoin logo, holding a big whiteboard, shouting:
"Folks! Bitcoin originally priced at 89999! Today not 89999! Not 79999! Exclusive live stream price only 62000!"
"Click the little yellow cart below to get a limited-time coupon! After coupon only 59999! Take home Bitcoin for 59999!"
Look at his excited expression, finger firmly pointing at the four big characters "Limited Time Discount," as if missing a second means missing a billion. The cup printed with MSTR, a Bitcoin badge pinned on his chest, rocket models and Bitcoin ornaments in the background, his professionalism completely outshines 90% of live sellers!
Check out this sales pitch, textbook level:
✅ Michael J. Saylor personally recommends
✅ MSTR hardcore sales, quality guaranteed
✅ Long-term holding, a choice of faith
✅ Global circulation, decentralized, inflation-resistant
✅ BTC/USDT never delisted
The best part is the "Hot Sale ×9999+" at the bottom right, I almost believed it! So Bitcoin is now like 9.9 yuan free shipping toilet paper, sold nearly ten thousand orders, right?
The veteran crypto traders in the comments have gone completely crazy:
"Saylor is awesome! Going all in tonight!"
"The orange pill! Cheers to the orange pill first!"
"Buy with eyes closed! 62000 is a steal! Been waiting three years for this!"
"One word from MSTR, I buy I buy!"
"Faith recharge in progress...💰💰💰"
"Ten thousand times stronger than gold!"
People used to say Bitcoin was "digital gold," so high-end and untouchable for ordinary people. Now, Saylor has directly brought it down from the altar, turning it into a 9.9 yuan free shipping deal in a live stream. No complicated K-line analysis, no obscure economic theories, no lengthy sermons, just one sentence: Price drop! Link up! Don't miss out!
All I can say is, when it comes to live selling, no one can escape the "true fragrance" rule. Even Bitcoin's top evangelist ended up becoming the kind of live seller he "hated" the most. But honestly, if I could really buy Bitcoin for 59999, I'd grab two orders! Enough said, I'm going to wait for Saylor's next live stream, see you there fam 🚀
🔥💥 Breaking news! Iran has drawn a hard red line directly for the US!
Any agreement
Must first unfreeze half of the frozen assets
Not a penny less, no deal!
⚠️ Iran's non-negotiable demand
• On the day the memorandum of understanding is signed
Immediately transfer 50% of the funds
• The remaining amount must be fully paid within 1-2 months
• Technical and financial details
Will be discussed slowly after signing
😤 Iran has really learned its lesson this time
In 2015, the US screwed them badly
After signing the agreement, the US reneged on payments
Then Trump tore up the deal
And the money was frozen again
This time, get the money first, then proceed
No one can play tricks!
🤯 Now Biden is in a tough spot
With elections approaching, he’s eager for diplomatic achievements
The Middle East is a mess that can’t be tolerated
But unfreezing tens of billions for Iran
Would cause the domestic Republicans + Israel
To blow up the White House💥
⚠️ Crypto brothers, pay close attention!
If the deal goes through → Middle East stabilizes → oil prices fall → stock market rises📈
If talks collapse → conflict escalates → oil prices surge → Bitcoin takes off as a safe haven🚀
This drama has just begun
In the coming months
Big fluctuations are coming👀

Exploded! The AI Reaper is targeting the entire privacy coin sector! Next up is Monero 💀
Damn! Folks!
The ZEC issue isn’t over yet.
An even bigger bombshell has arrived!
The man who used GPT-4.8 in one day
to find the infinite inflation vulnerability in ZEC that had been lurking for four years,
Taylor Hornby,
just officially announced:
Next up is auditing Monero XMR!
In the future, he plans to scan all major privacy coins one by one!
The entire privacy coin community
is now collectively trembling,
trembling under the covers overnight!
Let me catch those who missed the story up 📚
How terrifying is this man?
ZEC’s Orchard privacy pool
was audited for four years by the world’s top cryptographers
and no issues were found.
But he fed the code to AI,
and in one day found that fatal vulnerability that allows infinite money printing without leaving a trace.
The most killer line was:
"Due to privacy features,
we cannot prove whether this vulnerability
has been exploited in the past four years."
Just that one sentence
crashed ZEC from 644 to 251,
halving its value by 60% in three days.
Faith shattered to nothing.
Now, he’s bringing AI to attack the entire sector ⚡
Today he directly declared
he will start with Monero XMR,
the absolute leader in privacy coins,
"the safest privacy coin" in countless people’s hearts.
Then all other privacy coins,
none will escape.
The whole market is now waiting,
waiting to see if AI scanning XMR’s code
will also reveal a
"lurking for years, infinite inflation, impossible to prove no exploitation" vulnerability.
If it really gets found,
XMR will directly replicate ZEC’s crash,
maybe even worse,
since XMR’s market cap is much larger than ZEC’s.
If even XMR fails,
then the entire privacy coin sector
can be declared dead.
This isn’t an audit, it’s doomsday judgment 🔪
We used to think
privacy coin code was the safest,
written by the smartest people in the world.
Now we realize
in front of AI,
human-written code
is full of vulnerabilities.
Hackers used to take years to find one vulnerability,
now AI only needs days,
even hours.
And vulnerabilities AI finds
humans might never discover.
More terrifying is the unsolvable vicious cycle:
Your core selling point is privacy,
but precisely because of privacy,
you can never prove you haven’t cheated.
As long as AI finds one vulnerability,
regardless of exploitation,
as soon as the official says "cannot prove",
this coin is done.
No one will trust a currency
whose supply might be infinitely manipulated.
Here’s some real talk for my brothers ❤️
Take my advice:
If you still hold any privacy coins now,
run if you can!
Don’t care how much it’s risen now,
don’t care how much others hype it.
The next coin AI finds a vulnerability in
might be the one you hold.
By then, you won’t be able to escape.
ZEC’s rebound is just a last flicker of light.
The logic of the entire privacy coin sector
has been completely shattered by this AI.
No one will ever believe
that "anonymity is a necessity" nonsense again.
In the face of absolute security risk,
privacy is worthless.
Comment below:
Do you still hold privacy coins?
Do you think Monero will crash? 👇

Crash again! BTC fell below 61,000, ETH positions worth 1.3 billion USD fled overnight 💀
Family!
Weekends just won't let us rest!
The crypto market is plunging again!
BTC directly broke through the 61,000 mark
Down 3% in 24 hours
Now at 60,992, just shy of 60k
ETH is even crazier
Not only did the price drop nearly 5%
What's scarier is
The total contract positions on the network dropped 5.33% in one day
A full 1.3 billion USD worth of positions
Just vanished!
This isn't liquidation, it's a mass exit ⚠️
Let me tell you the scariest part
This plunge in positions
Isn't because one side got liquidated
Both sides are running away
The bulls can't hold on, cutting losses and closing positions
The bears have made enough profit, taking profits and fleeing
Everyone is deleveraging
No one wants to play anymore
During the previous sideways market
Positions kept piling up
Bulls and bears were locked in fierce battle
Back then there was hope
At least one side would win
There would be a big move
Now?
No one is betting
Everyone is stuffing money in their pockets and running
That's the scariest thing
A slow decline kills more than a crash
How's that 128 million bottom-fishing whale doing? 🤡
And what about the guy who bottom-fished 78,000 ETH with 3x leverage yesterday?
Is he still okay?
His average price is 1645
ETH is now at 1580
His unrealized loss has exceeded 150 million USD
He's lost nearly half his principal
His liquidation price is 1280
Looks like there's still some distance
But at this rate of slow decline
It's really hard to say
And all the bears are watching him now
As soon as he dares to add positions
The bears will smash the price mercilessly
Just waiting for his liquidation
To eat up his 128 million
Let me give you brothers some heartfelt advice ❤️
Listen to me
Don't bottom-fish now! Don't bottom-fish! Don't bottom-fish!
Important things said three times
The market now
Is beyond technical analysis
It's pure panic
A collective capital flight
You think it's hit bottom?
There's still eighteen levels of hell below
For those already trapped: don't cut losses, just lie low, cutting now hurts too much
For those not in yet: hold cash and watch, wait for a volume spike and crash before considering bottom-fishing
For those wanting to leverage: delete your software now, opening leverage now is just giving away money
Finally, let me ask everyone
How much did you lose today?
Has anyone already cut losses and fled?
Let's chat in the comments 👇


I'm stunned! The entire market is collectively plunging, and only ZEC is secretly skyrocketing 🤯
Folks! The current market situation is ridiculously bad!
Opening the market page, it's a sea of green bloodbath
Looking around, everything is falling
Only ZEC has a red bar
Shining brightly, dazzling to no end
BTC down 1.79%
ETH directly plunges 4.81%
SOL down 3.14%, and its holdings plummet 5.6%
BNB is even worse, holdings drop 7.9%
Everyone is running, cutting losses
Panic sentiment is maxed out
And the result?
ZEC! The one that fell from 644 to 251 a few days ago
Everyone was shouting it would go to zero
Today it surged 19.5% against the trend
Holdings also rose 5.6%
Others are falling like dogs, it’s rising like a monster
This contrast just blew my mind
The market is now split into two worlds ⚡
One side is the mainstream coin hell:
ETH dropped from 1800 to 1500
So many tried to bottom-fish halfway
Got stuck badly
Cut losses down to the bone
Crying and begging to close accounts
The other side is ZEC’s paradise:
From the lowest point 251 to now 372
Up nearly 50% in three days
Those brave gamblers who bottomed at 250
Have already doubled their money
People slapping their thighs all the way to Paris
Why is this happening? 🤔
Simply put, bad news is over and turned good
Everyone was afraid of the infinite issuance loophole in the Orchard pool
Afraid the official was secretly printing money
But the audit results came out
Though it didn’t prove exploitation
It also didn’t prove it was exploited
Uncertainty removed
Shorts immediately closed positions and fled
Longs took the opportunity to push the price up
And the most amazing thing is
There’s nothing much to speculate on in the whole market now
Mainstream coins are all suppressed by Fed rate hike expectations
Funds have nowhere to go
So they cluster to speculate on these story-rich meme coins
The more controversial, the more people speculate
Here’s the most honest advice for my brothers ❤️
Listen to me!
Never chase ZEC at a high price! Never chase it!
This thing is purely emotional and a pure money game now
It rises fast, but falls even faster
Up 20% today, can drop 30% tomorrow
Chasing in likely means taking the bag
If you’re already on board: congrats on the gains! Be ready to run anytime, don’t be greedy
If you’re not on board: don’t envy, just watch, this money isn’t for us to make
For mainstream coins: don’t cut losses blindly either
This is already a panic sell-off
It can’t fall much further
Hold and wait for a rebound
Don’t fall before dawn
Finally, let me ask everyone
How much did you lose today?
Did anyone bottom-fish ZEC and make gains?
Let’s chat in the comments 👇

Holy crap! Something big happened with ETH! A $128 million 3x leverage bottom-fishing king is going crazy💥
Family! Just got the latest on-chain bombshell! It literally blew my mind!
While everyone else is numb from ETH’s drop,
crying and begging to close accounts and cut losses,
there’s a ruthless player going absolutely wild!
On-chain data just exploded:
A mysterious giant whale
in just a day and a half
borrowed $128 million
with 3x leverage
and all-in on 78,000 ETH
at an average price of $1645!
This afternoon when ETH dropped to $1505,
he didn’t even blink
and threw in another $28 million USDT to bottom-fish.
The lower it fell, the more he bought—stubborn to an absurd degree😱
Right now, his two loan positions have liquidation lines at
1356 and 1280 respectively.
Meaning,
as long as ETH doesn’t fall below 1280,
he won’t die.
But if it breaks below,
this $128 million will instantly implode into a black hole,
and the whole market will be dragged down!
Others fear leverage, others cut losses, but he goes all-in🤡
Honestly, I’m impressed.
This isn’t just bottom-fishing;
he’s literally betting his entire fortune and life
that ETH won’t die.
Right now, the whole network is bearish on ETH,
saying things like “ETH is dead,”
“it will drop below 1000,”
“the Ethereum era is over.”
Retail investors are bleeding from cutting losses one by one,
but this whale flips and goes all-in with 3x leverage.
This level of play is just incomparable.
Let me do some math for you:
ETH is around 1500 now,
he averaged 1645,
currently down $145 per coin.
78,000 coins means a paper loss of $113 million.
With 3x leverage,
his principal has lost nearly 30%,
but he doesn’t even blink and keeps adding.
This is the difference between whales and retail:
You panic after a 10% drop,
cut losses after 20%,
he drops 30%,
and doubles down with another $28 million.
Now the whole crypto world is betting: will he blow up?⚡
This whale’s move turned the ETH market into a life-or-death gamble.
The market is split into two camps:
✅ Bulls: Big players dare to go all-in with 3x leverage, why should we be scared? Let’s bottom-fish!
❌ Bears: Waiting for his liquidation! This $128 million bomb will explode and smash ETH below 1000!
Honestly, both sides have a point,
but I advise you not to blindly pick sides.
Historically, whales richer than him
have liquidated plenty of times.
3x leverage in a bear market
is really nothing special.
What’s even scarier is
his position is so obvious
all the bears are now targeting his liquidation lines
and will hammer it mercilessly.
Here’s some heartfelt advice for my brothers❤️
Listen to me!
Don’t blindly bottom-fish, and don’t blindly short either!
This whale isn’t a god;
he can blow up too.
Here are some practical tips:
1. If you’re already trapped: don’t cut losses now! Cutting now means selling at the bottom! Set a stop loss at 1300, and if it really breaks, then run.
2. If you want to bottom-fish: don’t go all-in at once! Buy in batches! Buy some at 1400, add more at 1300.
3. If you want to short: don’t short below 1500! That’s suicide! Wait for a rebound above 1600, then consider it, with a stop loss at 1650.
Finally,
Everyone is watching this guy’s liquidation lines now.
If he holds on,
ETH will likely violently rebound,
bringing the whole altcoin market back to life.
If he doesn’t hold,
and ETH breaks below 1280,
that will be an epic crash,
and everyone will go down with it.
Right now we’re all spectators,
just watching this $128 million high-stakes gamble
to see who wins and who loses in the end.
Comment below,
Do you think this whale is a true big player,
or the next unlucky victim to liquidate?👇
BTC is consolidating before a big move! $1.5 billion short positions vs. $989 million long positions, whoever blows up first will skyrocket💥
Family!
BTC right now is not just consolidating
Both longs and shorts
Have piled all the explosives at each other's doorstep
Just waiting for someone to light the fuse🔥
The latest data blew my mind
Coinglass shows:
As long as BTC breaks above $63,000
All short positions on major exchanges combined
Will trigger a $1.513 billion super fireworks display
Conversely,
If it falls below $59,000
Long positions will also liquidate $989 million
In other words,
There’s only a $4,000 range up and down
Hiding a total of $2.5 billion in liquidation funds
Any step in either direction
Will be a bloodbath liquidation feast😱
First, a quick primer for newbies: What exactly is a liquidation chart?🤔
Many people think
“Oh, $63,000 has $1.5 billion short positions waiting to blow”
Wrong! Totally wrong!
Even the official sources say
The numbers on the liquidation chart
Are not the exact amounts waiting to be liquidated
They represent liquidation intensity
What does that mean?
Simply put:
$63,000 is the short sellers’ ancestral grave
It’s where all the shorts are most concentrated
As soon as the price touches this level
It triggers a chain reaction
Shorts get liquidated → forced to buy to close → price keeps rising → more shorts get liquidated
Eventually creating a $1.5 billion liquidity tsunami
Conversely, $59,000 is the longs’ graveyard
Breaking below it triggers a long squeeze
But it’s clear
This time the shorts’ bet size
Is 50% larger than the longs’
How crazy is the market right now?🤡
Everyone is waiting for the other side to die first
Longs are frantically bottom fishing below $60,000
Thinking it can’t fall further
Shorts are aggressively adding positions above $60,000
Expecting a non-farm payrolls bearish impact
The result?
BTC has been oscillating between $59,500 and $61,500
For almost three days
Like a teasing little demon
Driving both sides nearly crazy
Why so many shorts?
Because after last week’s non-farm payrolls bomb
Everyone thought the Fed would hike rates
BTC would fall
But after two days of falling, it stalled
Shorts refused to give up
The more it stalled, the more they added
Thinking “It definitely will fall more”
They ended up building a $1.5 billion bomb themselves
The favorite trick of the big players: spike liquidations⚠️
Listen to me
Never set your stop loss
Exactly at $63,000 or $59,000
The big players understand the liquidation chart better than you
They won’t give you a decent stop loss chance
They’ll just spike the price
Trigger all stop losses and shorts
Then slam it back down
Completing a perfect double liquidation of longs and shorts
They’ve done this countless times
Every time at critical levels
First spike liquidates one side
Then reverse to liquidate the other
Finally, the price returns to the original point
Only you get liquidated
Advice for all gamblers✅
1. Absolutely do not open positions in the middle! In the $59,000-$63,000 range, opening longs or shorts is

ZEC Audit Today: A Death Sentence with a Stay of Execution That Can Never Prove Its Innocence🔪
Family! The ZEC scoop is finally halfway ripe!
The long-awaited Orchard supply audit
was officially released today.
But after reading it, all I want to say is:
This isn’t restoring confidence; it’s turning a death sentence into a suspended one😅
First, a quick recap for those who missed the news📚
Three days ago, ZEC plunged from 644 to 251,
cutting in half by 60% in three days,
stunning the entire crypto community.
The cause wasn’t regulation or hackers,
but a fatal vulnerability lurking for four whole years—
attackers could mint unlimited fake ZEC in the Orchard privacy pool,
and it was completely undetectable🤯
What’s even more outrageous
is that this vulnerability wasn’t discovered by some elite hacker,
but by a security researcher using the just-released GPT-4.8
who scanned the code and found it.
The world’s top cryptographers
had been searching for four years without success,
but AI found it in one day.
After the official emergency fix,
they said something chilling to everyone:
"Due to Orchard’s privacy features,
we cannot cryptographically prove
whether this vulnerability was exploited in the past four years."
This statement shattered faith in ZEC
and undermined the fundamental logic of the entire privacy coin sector.
Today’s audit: a paradox of never being able to prove innocence🤷♂️
The so-called "audit results" released today
boil down to one sentence:
"We found no evidence of exploitation,
but we also cannot prove it wasn’t exploited."
This is the fatal structural flaw of privacy coins:
Your core selling point is privacy,
but privacy
means you can never prove you didn’t cheat.
It’s like a black box:
You say there’s only 100 units inside,
but you don’t let anyone open it or weigh it.
You can only swear, "I didn’t add any extra."
Do you think anyone would believe that?
And this isn’t the first time ZEC has done this.
In 2018, its first-generation privacy pool Sprout
had the exact same unlimited minting vulnerability,
lurking for years,
with no way to prove if it was exploited afterward.
The official response was to forcibly abandon the entire pool,
forcing all users to transfer their coins out,
calling it an "upgrade," but in reality, it was "covering up evidence."
The official solution this time is similar:
"We will build a new privacy pool
and have everyone transfer their coins from Orchard to it.
During the transfer, we will count the amount
and find out if there are any fake coins."
What kind of audit is this?
This is "moving house and counting," family!
It’s like your bank account money:
The bank says, "We don’t know if there are counterfeit bills.
Withdraw all your money,
we’ll give you a new account to deposit it,
and count if there’s any extra."
What if they find extra money?
Then the old account’s money becomes worthless.
Whoever transfers last is out of luck.
AI Audit: The Death Knell for the Entire Privacy Coin Sector⚠️
More terrifying than ZEC itself
is that this incident completely shatters the security myth of privacy coins.
We used to believe
privacy coin code was audited with the strictest standards,
written by the smartest people in the world,
impossible to have such a low-level vulnerability.
But the fact is,
a fatal vulnerability lurking for four years
was missed by all security companies worldwide,
all cryptographers,
all audit agencies,
and was finally found in one day by a newly released AI model.
What does this mean?
It means traditional manual security audits
have completely fallen behind the evolution speed of attack capabilities.
Before, hackers needed months or even years to find a vulnerability.
Now with AI,
they might find one in days or even hours,
and AI can write exploit code and launch attacks on its own.
Even scarier,
vulnerabilities AI can find
humans might never discover.
If the researcher hadn’t scanned with AI this time,
this vulnerability might have lurked for another four years,
until someone secretly minted all ZEC.
This is no longer just a ZEC problem.
It’s a problem for the entire privacy coin sector.
All projects using zero-knowledge proofs for privacy
face the same risk—
you never know
if your code contains an unlimited minting vulnerability
only AI can find.
Finally, a blunt truth💀
Today’s audit
won’t rebuild any market confidence,
only make more people realize
ZEC’s problem isn’t a bug,
but an unsolvable structural defect.
The official says "the likelihood of exploitation is very low,"
but "very low likelihood" and "none" are worlds apart.
In crypto,
as long as there’s a 1% chance of going to zero,
100% of people will run.
Arthur Hayes has already liquidated all his ZEC.
I strongly agree with what he said:
"When a currency’s supply cannot be mathematically proven,
it ceases to be a currency."
ZEC won’t go to zero immediately.
It will still rebound,
still have speculation,
still have believers in "privacy as a necessity."
But its faith is dead.
From the moment the official said "cannot prove,"
it was sentenced to death.
Now it’s just waiting to die.
As for the entire privacy coin sector,
this incident is a turning point.
In the future, either a new technology emerges
that can protect privacy and verify supply,
or all privacy coins
will eventually meet the same fate as ZEC.
? #ZEC:官方今日公布Orchard供应审计
#Nonfarm Data Released: Employment Increased by 172,000, Far Exceeding Expectations Nonfarm data directly doubled expectations! Rate hike expectations are reignited, BTC is being buried alive💥
Family! The sky is falling!
The global financial market's sky changed overnight!😱
Yesterday everyone was still dreaming
"Will the Fed cut rates by 50 basis points in September?"
But one nonfarm report
shattered everyone's script to pieces!
US May nonfarm payrolls increased by 172,000
Market expectation was only 85,000
More than double the forecast!
The previous value was also revised up from 115,000 to 179,000🤡
This is not a slight beat on expectations
This is the job market delivering a loud slap
to all the bears!
How brutal was the market reaction?
Spot gold plunged 3.25% in one day
All gains this year wiped out in a day💀
Nasdaq crashed 4.18%
The largest single-day drop since April 2025
Our BTC
fell straight from 92,000 to below 86,000
Over $1.2 billion liquidated in 24 hours
So many were wiped out overnight
Overnight
All rate cut fantasies vanished
The market made a 180-degree turn on the spot
From "when will rates be cut"
to "when will rates hike"🔥
From rate cuts to hikes, it only took one day⏰
A month ago
The market was still wildly betting on a September rate cut
Some even shouted for a surprise in June
CME showed over 80% probability of a 25 basis point cut in September
Two rate cuts this year was almost consensus
Now?
Once the data came out
CME had an earthquake on the spot:
• No hike in June: 96.2%
• No hike in July: 84.8%
• 25 basis point hike in December: 67.7%
That's right! You read it correctly!
The market is now pricing in a rate hike this year!
What does this mean?
It means that the lifeline supporting all risk assets' rise
"Fed rate cuts are coming"
has been completely uprooted!
Gold fell the most because it is a non-yielding asset
What about our BTC?
The so-called "digital gold"
also bowed down this time
The higher the interest rates, the higher the risk-free returns
Who would want to play with your high-risk cryptocurrency?
What's even scarier
This is just the beginning
If CPI continues to exceed expectations
The probability of rate hikes will max out
By then BTC will fall so hard you won't recognize it
Trump + Waller, nailing the coffin lid on rate cuts⚰️
If nonfarm shattered fantasies
Then Trump + Waller
directly nailed the coffin lid on rate cut expectations
and welded it shut
As soon as nonfarm came out
Trump said:
"Rate decisions are entirely up to Waller"
Sounds respectful to the Fed, right?
The subtext is:
No rate cuts for the next four months, don't even think about it!
Waller is a hardcore hawk
He only pretended to talk about rate cuts to become chair
Now with such strong nonfarm data
He has a reason to hold firm
"Employment is so good, no rate cuts! Let's tackle inflation first!"
Moreover
Waller's first meeting won't be until October
The next three meetings in June, July, and September
are all under Powell's old team
Powell is even more hawkish than Waller
He has said long ago
No rate cuts until inflation is below 2%
Those dreaming
That Trump would force the Fed to flood the market
Can wake up now
Pure wishful thinking🤡
So, who can save us next?🙏
Everyone is asking now
What can change this deadlock?
The answer is clear:
Either CPI collapses or employment crashes
June 10 CPI: A do-or-die battle❗️
This is the most important data coming up, no exceptions
If May CPI continues above 3%
Even higher than April's 3.2%
The probability of rate hikes will shoot above 80%
BTC will likely test the 80,000 level directly
Only if CPI falls below 3%, and core CPI drops significantly
Can we breathe a sigh of relief
July 2 Nonfarm: Testing resilience
If June nonfarm remains above 100,000
It means US employment is ridiculously strong
The Fed will be more determined to keep rates high
Only if nonfarm falls below 50,000
Unemployment surges
Will rate cuts be back on the agenda
Finally, a heartfelt word❤️
Don't hold any illusions now
No "bull market is still on"
No "pullbacks are buying opportunities"
It's all nonsense
The market now
Has been completely repriced
The logic behind the past six months' rally is gone
What we face
Is possibly a prolonged high interest rate environment
Maybe even rate hikes
If you're already trapped
Don't stubbornly hold on, reduce positions if needed
If you haven't bottomed out yet
Don't get itchy-handed
Bottom fishing now is catching flying knives
If you catch it wrong, it will pierce your heart directly